Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.180471 2.506198 2.867536 3.298721 3.800072 4.365603 5.053267
2025-05-11 1.669327 2.098096 2.621061 3.308612 4.192874 5.297385 6.790190
2025-05-18 1.392984 1.858671 2.464076 3.314265 4.486224 6.057625 8.345618
2025-05-25 1.170682 1.637988 2.277176 3.223656 4.603743 6.564472 9.600067
2025-06-01 1.045926 1.525272 2.210740 3.274265 4.904232 7.342812 11.332744
2025-06-08 0.953319 1.442407 2.170138 3.347614 5.235356 8.195531 13.290490
2025-06-15 0.862351 1.348307 2.097485 3.356221 5.458001 8.897564 15.098216
2025-06-22 0.769359 1.238705 1.985631 3.283882 5.532866 9.358968 16.554882
2025-06-29 0.696145 1.151841 1.898856 3.239210 5.642946 9.885227 18.191961
2025-07-06 0.629159 1.067527 1.806082 3.170928 5.698841 10.316186 19.706698
2025-07-13 0.608675 1.060058 1.842477 3.333572 6.190237 11.600076 23.052557
2025-07-20 0.565860 1.008486 1.795311 3.336432 6.379442 12.332098 25.397962
2025-07-27 0.534564 0.979693 1.795543 3.447748 6.832895 13.724120 29.541980
2025-08-03 0.491550 0.925476 1.744682 3.458386 7.098520 14.804401 33.290713
2025-08-10 0.453546 0.875862 1.695716 3.464301 7.352200 15.896144 37.282132
2025-08-17 0.409535 0.809140 1.604689 3.369298 7.371491 16.472261 40.158468
2025-08-24 0.385216 0.779221 1.584299 3.422360 7.728906 17.877943 45.398811
2025-08-31 0.365436 0.756313 1.575487 3.499270 8.152798 19.512625 51.595513
2025-09-07 0.341808 0.722507 1.539262 3.508295 8.415037 20.794350 57.120637
2025-09-14 0.313949 0.676448 1.470890 3.432444 8.455371 21.517338 61.225516
2025-09-21 0.291036 0.638948 1.417511 3.385605 8.562535 22.435129 66.118477
2025-09-28 0.268656 0.600328 1.357330 3.314016 8.594032 23.153615 70.572696
2025-10-05 0.263769 0.601666 1.390828 3.484546 9.306391 25.911251 82.197682